Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of no additional prison time. His latest New York retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, after a hung jury on the remaining rape charge, while he awaits sentencing on a prior sexual-assault conviction that carries up to 25 years. Weinstein, now 74, has already served more than five years since his initial 2020 conviction and faces separate appeals in both New York and Los Angeles, where a 16-year rape sentence remains under review. Health complications and the cumulative effect of multiple trials have shifted industry narratives toward the possibility of concurrent time, plea resolutions, or successful appeals that could limit further incarceration beyond time already served.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 79.2%
少于5年 5.2%
5-10年 4.2%
20-30年 4.2%
$991,272 交易量
$991,272 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
79%
少于5年
5%
5-10年
4%
10-20年
3%
20-30年
4%
30年以上
2%
无监禁时间 79.2%
少于5年 5.2%
5-10年 4.2%
20-30年 4.2%
$991,272 交易量
$991,272 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$349,079 交易量
79%
少于5年
$131,330 交易量
5%
5-10年
$79,813 交易量
4%
10-20年
$158,966 交易量
3%
20-30年
$199,610 交易量
4%
30年以上
$72,473 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of no additional prison time. His latest New York retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, after a hung jury on the remaining rape charge, while he awaits sentencing on a prior sexual-assault conviction that carries up to 25 years. Weinstein, now 74, has already served more than five years since his initial 2020 conviction and faces separate appeals in both New York and Los Angeles, where a 16-year rape sentence remains under review. Health complications and the cumulative effect of multiple trials have shifted industry narratives toward the possibility of concurrent time, plea resolutions, or successful appeals that could limit further incarceration beyond time already served.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$991,272结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of no additional prison time. His latest New York retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, after a hung jury on the remaining rape charge, while he awaits sentencing on a prior sexual-assault conviction that carries up to 25 years. Weinstein, now 74, has already served more than five years since his initial 2020 conviction and faces separate appeals in both New York and Los Angeles, where a 16-year rape sentence remains under review. Health complications and the cumulative effect of multiple trials have shifted industry narratives toward the possibility of concurrent time, plea resolutions, or successful appeals that could limit further incarceration beyond time already served.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$991,272结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of no additional prison time. His latest New York retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, after a hung jury on the remaining rape charge, while he awaits sentencing on a prior sexual-assault conviction that carries up to 25 years. Weinstein, now 74, has already served more than five years since his initial 2020 conviction and faces separate appeals in both New York and Los Angeles, where a 16-year rape sentence remains under review. Health complications and the cumulative effect of multiple trials have shifted industry narratives toward the possibility of concurrent time, plea resolutions, or successful appeals that could limit further incarceration beyond time already served.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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