Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s sprawling legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared May 15 in his third New York rape retrial after jurors deadlocked 9–3 in favor of acquittal on Jessica Mann’s allegations, have sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 80.2%. Prosecutors must now decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, while Weinstein awaits sentencing on his 2025 conviction for sexual assault against Miriam Haley, which carries up to 25 years and could run consecutively to his upheld California term. His advanced age, documented health decline at Rikers, and ongoing appeals have further tempered expectations for extended incarceration, aligning trader consensus with the view that new convictions remain uncertain amid shifting jury outcomes and procedural hurdles in this landmark #MeToo case.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 80.2%
20-30年 8.5%
少于5年 5.1%
5-10年 3.8%
$993,185 交易量
$993,185 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
80%
少于5年
5%
5-10年
4%
10-20年
3%
20-30年
8%
30年以上
1%
无监禁时间 80.2%
20-30年 8.5%
少于5年 5.1%
5-10年 3.8%
$993,185 交易量
$993,185 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$349,081 交易量
80%
少于5年
$131,345 交易量
5%
5-10年
$80,471 交易量
4%
10-20年
$159,332 交易量
3%
20-30年
$200,482 交易量
8%
30年以上
$72,473 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s sprawling legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared May 15 in his third New York rape retrial after jurors deadlocked 9–3 in favor of acquittal on Jessica Mann’s allegations, have sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 80.2%. Prosecutors must now decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, while Weinstein awaits sentencing on his 2025 conviction for sexual assault against Miriam Haley, which carries up to 25 years and could run consecutively to his upheld California term. His advanced age, documented health decline at Rikers, and ongoing appeals have further tempered expectations for extended incarceration, aligning trader consensus with the view that new convictions remain uncertain amid shifting jury outcomes and procedural hurdles in this landmark #MeToo case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$993,185结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s sprawling legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared May 15 in his third New York rape retrial after jurors deadlocked 9–3 in favor of acquittal on Jessica Mann’s allegations, have sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 80.2%. Prosecutors must now decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, while Weinstein awaits sentencing on his 2025 conviction for sexual assault against Miriam Haley, which carries up to 25 years and could run consecutively to his upheld California term. His advanced age, documented health decline at Rikers, and ongoing appeals have further tempered expectations for extended incarceration, aligning trader consensus with the view that new convictions remain uncertain amid shifting jury outcomes and procedural hurdles in this landmark #MeToo case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$993,185结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s sprawling legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared May 15 in his third New York rape retrial after jurors deadlocked 9–3 in favor of acquittal on Jessica Mann’s allegations, have sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 80.2%. Prosecutors must now decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, while Weinstein awaits sentencing on his 2025 conviction for sexual assault against Miriam Haley, which carries up to 25 years and could run consecutively to his upheld California term. His advanced age, documented health decline at Rikers, and ongoing appeals have further tempered expectations for extended incarceration, aligning trader consensus with the view that new convictions remain uncertain amid shifting jury outcomes and procedural hurdles in this landmark #MeToo case.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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