Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
21°C 37%
22°C 32%
20°C 23%
19°C 12%
17°C或以下
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
12%
20°C
23%
21°C
37%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C或更高
2%
21°C 37%
22°C 32%
20°C 23%
19°C 12%
17°C或以下
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
12%
20°C
23%
21°C
37%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders view the highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27 as most likely 21–22°C due to closely aligned short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. A stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea is expected to limit strong advection of continental warmth, keeping daytime maxima in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies. Recent KNMI surface observations show modest warming trends without extreme heatwave conditions, while model spread centers on minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to frontal timing remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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