Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月25日重庆气温最高？
7月25日重庆气温最高？
40°C 34%
39°C 27%
41°C 23%
38°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-25
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
16%
39°C
27%
40°C
34%
41°C
23%
42°C
4%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
40°C 34%
39°C 27%
41°C 23%
38°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-25
34°C or below
$843 交易量
<1%
35°C
$160 交易量
<1%
36°C
$156 交易量
1%
37°C
$194 交易量
2%
38°C
$464 交易量
16%
39°C
$286 交易量
27%
40°C
$771 交易量
34%
41°C
$881 交易量
23%
42°C
$199 交易量
4%
43°C
$196 交易量
1%
44°C or higher
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,297结束日期
2026-07-25市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,297结束日期
2026-07-25市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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