Recent short-term forecast updates from models tracking the East Asian monsoon show thundershowers likely developing over Guangzhou on July 27, which would limit peak daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature near 31–33°C. Subtropical humidity and frequent convective activity in late July typically suppress highs below the monthly average of about 33°C when rainfall arrives midday, while any delay in storms could briefly allow readings to reach 33°C or slightly higher. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact precipitation timing and cloud cover, creating tight market-implied odds around these thresholds as traders integrate the latest guidance on steering patterns and instability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日广州气温最高?
32°C 27%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C 20%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
17%
31°C
25%
32°C
27%
33°C
25%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36℃
1%
37℃或以上
2%
32°C 27%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C 20%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
17%
31°C
25%
32°C
27%
33°C
25%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36℃
1%
37℃或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast updates from models tracking the East Asian monsoon show thundershowers likely developing over Guangzhou on July 27, which would limit peak daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature near 31–33°C. Subtropical humidity and frequent convective activity in late July typically suppress highs below the monthly average of about 33°C when rainfall arrives midday, while any delay in storms could briefly allow readings to reach 33°C or slightly higher. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact precipitation timing and cloud cover, creating tight market-implied odds around these thresholds as traders integrate the latest guidance on steering patterns and instability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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