Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Weather.com indicate a high of 11°C for Buenos Aires on July 6 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 11°C (36.5%) and 12°C (31.5%). In Southern Hemisphere winter, regional highs typically range 10–14°C; subtle differences in steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, or minor model discrepancies in the latest runs can easily shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders weigh these near-term variables against climatological baselines, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated model guidance over the next 24 hours will likely refine the narrow spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 6?
11°C 50%
10°C 30%
12°C 10%
9°C 8%
$14,175 交易量
$14,175 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
30%
11°C
50%
12°C
10%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 50%
10°C 30%
12°C 10%
9°C 8%
$14,175 交易量
$14,175 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
30%
11°C
50%
12°C
10%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Weather.com indicate a high of 11°C for Buenos Aires on July 6 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 11°C (36.5%) and 12°C (31.5%). In Southern Hemisphere winter, regional highs typically range 10–14°C; subtle differences in steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, or minor model discrepancies in the latest runs can easily shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders weigh these near-term variables against climatological baselines, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated model guidance over the next 24 hours will likely refine the narrow spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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