Recent forecasts from global models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 6 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C. Lingering moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon and variable cloud cover or light rain remain the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation under overcast skies can suppress daytime maxima by 2–3°C compared to clearer conditions. Shanghai's urban heat island and typical July humidity amplify radiative heating on sunny days, while steering patterns from subtropical highs favor modest warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on precipitation timing, will likely drive further shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 6?
33°C 30%
32°C 22%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
22%
33°C
30%
34°C
13%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 30%
32°C 22%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
27°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$103 交易量
11%
32°C
$17 交易量
22%
33°C
$6 交易量
30%
34°C
$26 交易量
13%
35°C
$10 交易量
9%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C or higher
$6 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 6 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C. Lingering moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon and variable cloud cover or light rain remain the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation under overcast skies can suppress daytime maxima by 2–3°C compared to clearer conditions. Shanghai's urban heat island and typical July humidity amplify radiative heating on sunny days, while steering patterns from subtropical highs favor modest warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on precipitation timing, will likely drive further shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$183结束日期
2026-07-06市场开放时间
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 6 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C. Lingering moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon and variable cloud cover or light rain remain the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation under overcast skies can suppress daytime maxima by 2–3°C compared to clearer conditions. Shanghai's urban heat island and typical July humidity amplify radiative heating on sunny days, while steering patterns from subtropical highs favor modest warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on precipitation timing, will likely drive further shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$183结束日期
2026-07-06市场开放时间
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 6 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C. Lingering moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon and variable cloud cover or light rain remain the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation under overcast skies can suppress daytime maxima by 2–3°C compared to clearer conditions. Shanghai's urban heat island and typical July humidity amplify radiative heating on sunny days, while steering patterns from subtropical highs favor modest warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on precipitation timing, will likely drive further shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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