Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on July 3?
96-97°F 47%
94-95°F 16%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 6.7%
$63,343 交易量
$63,343 交易量
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 47%
94-95°F 16%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 6.7%
$63,343 交易量
$63,343 交易量
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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