Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on July 3?
Highest temperature in London on July 3?
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
25°C 13%
28°C 8%
最新
$17,072 交易量
最新
$17,072 交易量
2026-07-03
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
40%
27°C
42%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
25°C 13%
28°C 8%
最新
$17,072 交易量
最新
$17,072 交易量
2026-07-03
22°C or below
$719 交易量
<1%
23°C
$625 交易量
<1%
24°C
$864 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,804 交易量
13%
26°C
$2,192 交易量
40%
27°C
$4,879 交易量
42%
28°C
$1,979 交易量
8%
29°C
$1,185 交易量
1%
30°C
$881 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,072 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$906 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$17,072结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,072结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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