Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 4?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 4?
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
19°C 16%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
27%
18°C
39%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
19°C 16%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
12°C or below
$72 交易量
<1%
13°C
$393 交易量
<1%
14°C
$913 交易量
<1%
15°C
$139 交易量
4%
16°C
$19 交易量
12%
17°C
$80 交易量
27%
18°C
$2,985 交易量
39%
19°C
$296 交易量
16%
20°C
$30 交易量
3%
21°C
$20 交易量
3%
22°C or higher
$26 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,974结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,974结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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