Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on July 4?
Highest temperature in London on July 4?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
21%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
23°C or below
$664 交易量
<1%
24°C
$162 交易量
1%
25°C
$314 交易量
3%
26°C
$260 交易量
11%
27°C
$1,010 交易量
21%
28°C
$551 交易量
35%
29°C
$327 交易量
29%
30°C
$312 交易量
7%
31°C
$138 交易量
<1%
32°C
$252 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$473 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$4,464结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,464结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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