Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 4?
39°C or higher 40%
38°C 22%
37°C 14%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
14%
38°C
22%
39°C or higher
40%
39°C or higher 40%
38°C 22%
37°C 14%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
14%
38°C
22%
39°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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