Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's July 4 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak heating rather than the typical July high-pressure ridge. Sea-breeze effects off the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with modest humidity around 50–60%, further cap daytime warming below seasonal normals of 27–29°C. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, with traders weighting latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing slight cooling trends over the prior 48 hours. Model spread remains modest but widens with any shift in wind direction or timing of frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 4?
25°C 39%
26°C 35%
27°C 12%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
39%
26°C
35%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 39%
26°C 35%
27°C 12%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
19°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$95 交易量
<1%
22°C
$157 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$81 交易量
11%
25°C
$765 交易量
39%
26°C
$95 交易量
35%
27°C
$55 交易量
12%
28°C
$78 交易量
5%
29°C or higher
$77 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's July 4 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak heating rather than the typical July high-pressure ridge. Sea-breeze effects off the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with modest humidity around 50–60%, further cap daytime warming below seasonal normals of 27–29°C. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, with traders weighting latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing slight cooling trends over the prior 48 hours. Model spread remains modest but widens with any shift in wind direction or timing of frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,409结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's July 4 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak heating rather than the typical July high-pressure ridge. Sea-breeze effects off the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with modest humidity around 50–60%, further cap daytime warming below seasonal normals of 27–29°C. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, with traders weighting latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing slight cooling trends over the prior 48 hours. Model spread remains modest but widens with any shift in wind direction or timing of frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,409结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's July 4 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C, driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak heating rather than the typical July high-pressure ridge. Sea-breeze effects off the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with modest humidity around 50–60%, further cap daytime warming below seasonal normals of 27–29°C. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, with traders weighting latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing slight cooling trends over the prior 48 hours. Model spread remains modest but widens with any shift in wind direction or timing of frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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