**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 2?
25°C 29%
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
26°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-02
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 29%
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
26°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-02
19°C or below
$10 交易量
1%
20°C
$10 交易量
1%
21°C
$10 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
5%
23°C
$355 交易量
25%
24°C
$13 交易量
25%
25°C
$301 交易量
29%
26°C
$5 交易量
8%
27°C
$10 交易量
5%
28°C
$15 交易量
3%
29°C or higher
$215 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$945结束日期
2026-07-02市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$945结束日期
2026-07-02市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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