Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 30 show cloudy skies with daytime highs likely in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, consistent with seasonal norms near 28°C yet tempered by lingering tsuyu moisture and variable cloud cover. Above-average summer temperatures expected nationwide support the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C, while model runs highlight sensitivity to exact precipitation timing and Pacific high positioning that could nudge maxima slightly higher or keep them suppressed. Historical late-June variability in urban heat islands further contributes to trader uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日东京气温最高?
27°C 35%
28°C 35%
29°C 19%
26°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 35%
28°C 35%
29°C 19%
26°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 30 show cloudy skies with daytime highs likely in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, consistent with seasonal norms near 28°C yet tempered by lingering tsuyu moisture and variable cloud cover. Above-average summer temperatures expected nationwide support the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C, while model runs highlight sensitivity to exact precipitation timing and Pacific high positioning that could nudge maxima slightly higher or keep them suppressed. Historical late-June variability in urban heat islands further contributes to trader uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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