Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日东京最低气温?
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
19°C 18%
20°C 16%
16°C或以下
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
49%
22°C
52%
23°C
16%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C或以上
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
19°C 18%
20°C 16%
16°C或以下
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
49%
22°C
52%
23°C
16%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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