Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日巴黎最低气温？
6月30日巴黎最低气温？
14°C或以下 43%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
14°C或以下
43%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
4%
14°C或以下 43%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
14°C或以下
$11 交易量
43%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$0 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
6%
18°C
$0 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$32 交易量
3%
21°C
$32 交易量
3%
22°C
$32 交易量
3%
23°C
$32 交易量
3%
24°C或更高
$27 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$165结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$165结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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