Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models place Jeddah’s June 30 maximum near 36–38 °C under typical early-summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and Red Sea humidity moderating extreme heat. These projections align with climatological baselines of 36–37 °C while allowing for day-to-day variability that supports the market’s elevated implied probability on 40 °C or higher. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours show limited warming potential from any strengthening ridge, keeping lower outcomes like 35–37 °C as plausible alternatives if marine-layer influence strengthens. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical June peaks rarely exceeding 39 °C in coastal Jeddah.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日吉达的最高温度?
40°C或更高 45%
39°C 36%
38°C 14%
37°C 4.8%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
14%
39°C
30%
40°C或更高
45%
40°C或更高 45%
39°C 36%
38°C 14%
37°C 4.8%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
14%
39°C
30%
40°C或更高
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models place Jeddah’s June 30 maximum near 36–38 °C under typical early-summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and Red Sea humidity moderating extreme heat. These projections align with climatological baselines of 36–37 °C while allowing for day-to-day variability that supports the market’s elevated implied probability on 40 °C or higher. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours show limited warming potential from any strengthening ridge, keeping lower outcomes like 35–37 °C as plausible alternatives if marine-layer influence strengthens. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical June peaks rarely exceeding 39 °C in coastal Jeddah.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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