Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on July 2 likely near 18–20 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official guidance shows a high near 18 °C with light showers and northerly winds, while some ensemble members allow modest warming to 20–21 °C under variable cloud cover. At this latitude and season, small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C, and updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria. Traders weigh these near-term dynamical uncertainties against climatological July averages of roughly 21 °C, keeping probabilities dispersed across the narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 2?
18°C 22%
21°C 18%
20°C 18%
19°C 15%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
22%
19°C
15%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 22%
21°C 18%
20°C 18%
19°C 15%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
22%
19°C
15%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on July 2 likely near 18–20 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official guidance shows a high near 18 °C with light showers and northerly winds, while some ensemble members allow modest warming to 20–21 °C under variable cloud cover. At this latitude and season, small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C, and updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria. Traders weigh these near-term dynamical uncertainties against climatological July averages of roughly 21 °C, keeping probabilities dispersed across the narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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