Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日上海气温最高?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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