**Trader consensus for Busan's June 30 maximum clusters around 27–28°C (58% combined implied probability), reflecting model guidance near or slightly above late-June climatological norms of roughly 26–27°C.** Coastal marine influences from the Korea Strait, including sea breezes and elevated humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, are expected to moderate daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble runs highlight potential for isolated showers or increased cloud cover that further limits insolation, while any clearer intervals could allow modest warming toward 29°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the narrow range of official guidance and noting that updated model output or observed trends over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities among the tightly grouped central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日釜山气温最高?
28°C 34%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
30°C 16.0%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
3%
28°C 34%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
30°C 16.0%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus for Busan's June 30 maximum clusters around 27–28°C (58% combined implied probability), reflecting model guidance near or slightly above late-June climatological norms of roughly 26–27°C.** Coastal marine influences from the Korea Strait, including sea breezes and elevated humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, are expected to moderate daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble runs highlight potential for isolated showers or increased cloud cover that further limits insolation, while any clearer intervals could allow modest warming toward 29°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the narrow range of official guidance and noting that updated model output or observed trends over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities among the tightly grouped central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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