Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日北京气温最高?
27°C 27%
26°C 21%
28°C 19%
25°C 12%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
19%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
27°C 27%
26°C 21%
28°C 19%
25°C 12%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
19%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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