Current forecasts for Guangzhou on July 5, 2026, center on 29–32°C maxima amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and timing of convective activity, which can suppress daytime peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Regional steering by the western Pacific subtropical high and proximity to the monsoon trough introduce uncertainty in rainfall coverage, directly influencing the narrow probability distribution across 29–32°C outcomes. Historical July baselines average 32–33°C, but recent model runs emphasize moisture-laden conditions as the dominant near-term constraint on extreme heat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?
31°C 33%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
29°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
24%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 33%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
29°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
24%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Guangzhou on July 5, 2026, center on 29–32°C maxima amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and timing of convective activity, which can suppress daytime peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Regional steering by the western Pacific subtropical high and proximity to the monsoon trough introduce uncertainty in rainfall coverage, directly influencing the narrow probability distribution across 29–32°C outcomes. Historical July baselines average 32–33°C, but recent model runs emphasize moisture-laden conditions as the dominant near-term constraint on extreme heat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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