Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on July 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 3?
37°C 46%
36°C 43%
38°C 11%
35°C 4.5%
最新
$14,848 交易量
最新
$14,848 交易量
2026-07-03
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
43%
37°C
46%
38°C
11%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 46%
36°C 43%
38°C 11%
35°C 4.5%
最新
$14,848 交易量
最新
$14,848 交易量
2026-07-03
32°C or below
$1,453 交易量
<1%
33°C
$847 交易量
<1%
34°C
$822 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,642 交易量
4%
36°C
$2,223 交易量
43%
37°C
$2,290 交易量
46%
38°C
$2,062 交易量
11%
39°C
$911 交易量
<1%
40°C
$867 交易量
<1%
41°C
$921 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$808 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$14,848结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,848结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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