Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will remain under a broad high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly flow through July 3, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. This stable pattern, typical for early July when climatological highs average 32 °C, explains why the 31 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C outcomes dominate trader consensus at combined implied odds exceeding 78 %. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation accounts for the close probabilities among those bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 35 °C due to the absence of any warm-advection signal in current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on July 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 3?
32°C 46%
31°C 28%
33°C 13%
30°C 9.7%
最新
$19,662 交易量
最新
$19,662 交易量
2026-07-03
28°C or below
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
46%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
31°C 28%
33°C 13%
30°C 9.7%
最新
$19,662 交易量
最新
$19,662 交易量
2026-07-03
28°C or below
$717 交易量
1%
29°C
$4,927 交易量
6%
30°C
$833 交易量
10%
31°C
$2,855 交易量
28%
32°C
$2,405 交易量
46%
33°C
$5,244 交易量
13%
34°C
$851 交易量
3%
35°C
$476 交易量
<1%
36°C
$383 交易量
<1%
37°C
$317 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$655 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will remain under a broad high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly flow through July 3, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. This stable pattern, typical for early July when climatological highs average 32 °C, explains why the 31 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C outcomes dominate trader consensus at combined implied odds exceeding 78 %. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation accounts for the close probabilities among those bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 35 °C due to the absence of any warm-advection signal in current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$19,662结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will remain under a broad high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly flow through July 3, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. This stable pattern, typical for early July when climatological highs average 32 °C, explains why the 31 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C outcomes dominate trader consensus at combined implied odds exceeding 78 %. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation accounts for the close probabilities among those bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 35 °C due to the absence of any warm-advection signal in current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,662结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will remain under a broad high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly flow through July 3, supporting daytime maxima near 31–33 °C. This stable pattern, typical for early July when climatological highs average 32 °C, explains why the 31 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C outcomes dominate trader consensus at combined implied odds exceeding 78 %. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation accounts for the close probabilities among those bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 35 °C due to the absence of any warm-advection signal in current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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