A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 3?
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,008 交易量
$63,008 交易量
2026-07-03
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,008 交易量
$63,008 交易量
2026-07-03
19°C or below
$1,930 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,388 交易量
<1%
21°C
$6,135 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5,250 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,345 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,161 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,807 交易量
<1%
26°C
$12,794 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,583 交易量
100%
28°C
$4,913 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$3,836 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
交易量
$63,008结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,008结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ETA cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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