Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 4 peak temperature clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models shows typical early-July monsoon (Jangma) conditions, with daytime maxima tempered by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. Southwesterly flow and urban heat-island effects keep the baseline near seasonal normals of 28–29 °C, while the precise timing and coverage of convection introduce enough uncertainty to differentiate the narrow spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Clearer breaks could push readings to 30 °C or briefly higher, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap peaks closer to 27 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
28°C 44%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
44%
29°C
22%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
44%
29°C
22%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 4 peak temperature clusters tightly around 28–29 °C because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models shows typical early-July monsoon (Jangma) conditions, with daytime maxima tempered by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. Southwesterly flow and urban heat-island effects keep the baseline near seasonal normals of 28–29 °C, while the precise timing and coverage of convection introduce enough uncertainty to differentiate the narrow spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Clearer breaks could push readings to 30 °C or briefly higher, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap peaks closer to 27 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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