Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 3?
24°C 37%
25°C 25%
23°C 20%
26°C 9%
最新
$11,915 交易量
最新
$11,915 交易量
2026-07-03
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
37%
25°C
25%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
25°C 25%
23°C 20%
26°C 9%
最新
$11,915 交易量
最新
$11,915 交易量
2026-07-03
18°C or below
$192 交易量
<1%
19°C
$180 交易量
<1%
20°C
$282 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,124 交易量
4%
22°C
$298 交易量
7%
23°C
$301 交易量
20%
24°C
$6,939 交易量
37%
25°C
$625 交易量
25%
26°C
$336 交易量
9%
27°C
$330 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$309 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$11,915结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,915结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题