Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 5?
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
66-67°F 15%
64-65°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
66-67°F 15%
64-65°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
55°F or below
$85 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$165 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$10 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$161 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
6%
64-65°F
$2 交易量
13%
66-67°F
$23 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$103 交易量
26%
70-71°F
$321 交易量
18%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
5%
74°F or higher
$125 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$995结束日期
2026-07-05市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$995结束日期
2026-07-05市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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