Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 3?
68-69°F 99.9%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$55,205 交易量
$55,205 交易量
2026-07-03
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99.9%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$55,205 交易量
$55,205 交易量
2026-07-03
59°F or below
$1,912 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$4,478 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$2,318 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,880 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$5,205 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$11,784 交易量
100%
70-71°F
$4,263 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$6,121 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$3,900 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$6,533 交易量
<1%
78°F or higher
$6,812 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$55,205结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,205结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTraders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题