Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on July 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 5?
98-99°F 30%
96-97°F 27%
94-95°F 12%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 30%
96-97°F 27%
94-95°F 12%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
87°F or below
$35 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$37 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$109 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$145 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$40 交易量
12%
96-97°F
$46 交易量
27%
98-99°F
$31 交易量
30%
100-101°F
$5 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$5 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$87 交易量
3%
106°F or higher
$90 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$630结束日期
2026-07-05市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$630结束日期
2026-07-05市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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