Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月21日釜山气温最高？
7月21日釜山气温最高？
32°C 43%
31°C 28%
33°C 28%
34°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
28%
32°C
43%
33°C
28%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 28%
33°C 28%
34°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
26°C或以下
$93 交易量
<1%
27°C
$89 交易量
<1%
28°C
$185 交易量
<1%
29°C
$278 交易量
<1%
30°C
$247 交易量
3%
31°C
$400 交易量
28%
32°C
$6,032 交易量
43%
33°C
$1,002 交易量
28%
34°C
$522 交易量
3%
35°C
$122 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$207 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,177结束日期
2026-07-21市场开放时间
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,177结束日期
2026-07-21市场开放时间
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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