Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan near 26–28°C for July 8 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, yet trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and strengthening influence from the North Pacific subtropical high. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of July can suppress peak readings, while clearer intervals under ridge influence allow brief warming toward 31°C; historical July maxima average 28–29°C with notable interannual variability. Key resolution hinges on official observations at Gimhae or central Busan stations, with next model updates likely shifting implied probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on July 8?
30°C 36%
29°C 30%
31°C 17.1%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
24%
30°C
32%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
30°C 36%
29°C 30%
31°C 17.1%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
24%
30°C
32%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan near 26–28°C for July 8 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, yet trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and strengthening influence from the North Pacific subtropical high. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of July can suppress peak readings, while clearer intervals under ridge influence allow brief warming toward 31°C; historical July maxima average 28–29°C with notable interannual variability. Key resolution hinges on official observations at Gimhae or central Busan stations, with next model updates likely shifting implied probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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