Current forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for Cape Town on July 29, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 21°C. Winter conditions in the region feature moderating influence from the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude cold fronts that suppress daytime highs, while light winds and clear skies on the 29th favor modest warming toward the upper end of recent climatological norms for late July. Any strengthening onshore flow or earlier frontal arrival could cap the peak closer to 19°C, whereas delayed cooling or localized adiabatic effects might push readings slightly higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日开普敦气温最高?
21°C 33%
20°C 32%
19°C 20%
22°C 16%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
32%
21°C
33%
22°C
16%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C或更高
1%
21°C 33%
20°C 32%
19°C 20%
22°C 16%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
32%
21°C
33%
22°C
16%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for Cape Town on July 29, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 21°C. Winter conditions in the region feature moderating influence from the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude cold fronts that suppress daytime highs, while light winds and clear skies on the 29th favor modest warming toward the upper end of recent climatological norms for late July. Any strengthening onshore flow or earlier frontal arrival could cap the peak closer to 19°C, whereas delayed cooling or localized adiabatic effects might push readings slightly higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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