**High pressure building across southern England is driving trader consensus toward a peak of 32–33°C in London on July 29, with Met Office guidance indicating a maximum of 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds.** Recent model runs show warm southerly flow advecting air from the continent, supporting daytime highs several degrees above the July average of ~22–24°C, consistent with the ongoing warm spell across southeast England. Minor forecast spread arises from differences in predicted cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect in central London, which can add 1–2°C locally. Official agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF continue to converge on dry, stable conditions with little risk of significant cooling until later in the week, leaving the outcome sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the narrow 32–34°C band while assigning low odds to extremes below 30°C or above 35°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日伦敦气温最高?
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 19%
31°C 15%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 19%
31°C 15%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**High pressure building across southern England is driving trader consensus toward a peak of 32–33°C in London on July 29, with Met Office guidance indicating a maximum of 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds.** Recent model runs show warm southerly flow advecting air from the continent, supporting daytime highs several degrees above the July average of ~22–24°C, consistent with the ongoing warm spell across southeast England. Minor forecast spread arises from differences in predicted cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect in central London, which can add 1–2°C locally. Official agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF continue to converge on dry, stable conditions with little risk of significant cooling until later in the week, leaving the outcome sensitive to the final 24–48 hours of model updates. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the narrow 32–34°C band while assigning low odds to extremes below 30°C or above 35°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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