Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on June 27 points to a high in the mid to upper 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's heaviest volume on the 76-77°F bin (43.5% implied probability) and secondary support for 78-79°F, as temperatures moderate from earlier June warmth. Climatological normals near 83°F provide context, yet persistent onshore winds and limited insolation have kept recent daily maxima below average. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12-18 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥6月27日最高气温?
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 7.5%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 7.5%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on June 27 points to a high in the mid to upper 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's heaviest volume on the 76-77°F bin (43.5% implied probability) and secondary support for 78-79°F, as temperatures moderate from earlier June warmth. Climatological normals near 83°F provide context, yet persistent onshore winds and limited insolation have kept recent daily maxima below average. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12-18 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题