Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Denver on July 6, 2026, centers on a maximum temperature in the mid-90s°F, reflecting typical early-July diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and afternoon mixing. This aligns with the July climatological average high of 94°F and recent guidance showing 94–96°F, keeping the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins as the clear market leaders. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, potential weak convection, or slight variations in steering flow that could trim or enhance peak heating by 1–2°F. Historical analogs and ongoing summer warmth support limited downside risk below 92°F, while probabilities for 98°F+ remain low absent stronger high-pressure ridging or drier downslope winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model runs will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on July 6?
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 29%
98-99°F 16.2%
92-93°F 4.0%
$17,713 交易量
$17,713 交易量
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 29%
98-99°F 16.2%
92-93°F 4.0%
$17,713 交易量
$17,713 交易量
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Denver on July 6, 2026, centers on a maximum temperature in the mid-90s°F, reflecting typical early-July diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and afternoon mixing. This aligns with the July climatological average high of 94°F and recent guidance showing 94–96°F, keeping the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins as the clear market leaders. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, potential weak convection, or slight variations in steering flow that could trim or enhance peak heating by 1–2°F. Historical analogs and ongoing summer warmth support limited downside risk below 92°F, while probabilities for 98°F+ remain low absent stronger high-pressure ridging or drier downslope winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model runs will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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