Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日迈阿密的最高温度？
8月1日迈阿密的最高温度？
92-93°F 47%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 21%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
47%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 47%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 21%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
85°F或以下
$264 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$111 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$81 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$490 交易量
21%
92-93°F
$589 交易量
47%
94-95°F
$2,072 交易量
25%
96-97°F
$549 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$52 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$71 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$80 交易量
<1%
104°F或更高
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$4,711结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,711结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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