Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日迈阿密的最高温度?
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 15%
90-91°F 10%
87°F或以下
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106°F或更高
2%
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 15%
90-91°F 10%
87°F或以下
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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