Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 32%
32°C 29%
34°C 26%
31°C 10%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C
29%
33°C
32%
34°C
26%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
3%
33°C 32%
32°C 29%
34°C 26%
31°C 10%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C
29%
33°C
32%
34°C
26%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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