Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Milan on June 26 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of maximum solar heating, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, and light Po Valley winds that can either enhance or moderate urban heat retention. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk and stable subsidence, keeping the distribution narrow while acknowledging typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C near the daily maximum. Updated NWP guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 26?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$69,203 交易量
$69,203 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$69,203 交易量
$69,203 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Milan on June 26 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of maximum solar heating, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, and light Po Valley winds that can either enhance or moderate urban heat retention. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk and stable subsidence, keeping the distribution narrow while acknowledging typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C near the daily maximum. Updated NWP guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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