Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日纽约市最高气温？
7月13日纽约市最高气温？
84-85°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,384 交易量
$71,384 交易量
2026-07-13
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,384 交易量
$71,384 交易量
2026-07-13
77°F or below
$583 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,669 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$11,053 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$11,473 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$9,091 交易量
100%
86-87°F
$11,450 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$10,037 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$7,428 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$7,800 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$450 交易量
<1%
96°F or higher
$350 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$71,384结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71,384结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 82–84°F in New York City on July 13, following the early-July heat wave that produced record highs near 100°F around July 2. Trader consensus clusters on the 82–87°F range because of lingering uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 2–4°F. NOAA’s ensemble runs and historical July analogs support this narrow band after the recent cool-down, with only low probabilities assigned to extremes above 90°F or below 80°F given stable synoptic patterns and modest humidity. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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