Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月14日上海气温最高？
7月14日上海气温最高？
36°C 55.0%
37°C 29.8%
35°C 11%
38°C 6.9%
最新
$45,908 交易量
最新
$45,908 交易量
2026-07-14
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
11%
36°C
55%
37°C
30%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 55.0%
37°C 29.8%
35°C 11%
38°C 6.9%
最新
$45,908 交易量
最新
$45,908 交易量
2026-07-14
29°C or below
$240 交易量
<1%
30°C
$274 交易量
<1%
31°C
$653 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,386 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,130 交易量
<1%
34°C
$9,130 交易量
<1%
35°C
$5,456 交易量
11%
36°C
$5,295 交易量
55%
37°C
$5,151 交易量
30%
38°C
$4,005 交易量
7%
39°C or higher
$9,034 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$45,908结束日期
2026-07-14市场开放时间
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,908结束日期
2026-07-14市场开放时间
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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