Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for July 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, establishing typical overnight minima near 27°C as the baseline. Short-term model consensus points to persistent humid conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers, which limit radiational cooling and favor minimums of 26–28°C; clearer skies could push readings toward 25°C while stronger southerly flow or urban heat retention supports 28°C or higher. Traders weight these factors against historical July variability and upcoming updated forecasts, creating the tight spread across 25–28°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日香港最低气温?
27°C 33%
28°C 32%
26°C 22%
22°C或以下 20%
22°C或以下
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
10%
32°C或以上
20%
27°C 33%
28°C 32%
26°C 22%
22°C或以下 20%
22°C或以下
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
10%
32°C或以上
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for July 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, establishing typical overnight minima near 27°C as the baseline. Short-term model consensus points to persistent humid conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers, which limit radiational cooling and favor minimums of 26–28°C; clearer skies could push readings toward 25°C while stronger southerly flow or urban heat retention supports 28°C or higher. Traders weight these factors against historical July variability and upcoming updated forecasts, creating the tight spread across 25–28°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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