Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
31°C 20%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
31°C 20%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
26°C或以下
$30 交易量
1%
27°C
$64 交易量
1%
28°C
$53 交易量
8%
29°C
$33 交易量
21%
30°C
$12 交易量
30%
31°C
$11 交易量
20%
32°C
$4 交易量
12%
33°C
$10 交易量
9%
34°C
$55 交易量
1%
35°C
$100 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$358结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$358结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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