Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日伦敦最低气温？
7月13日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 38%
15°C 36%
17°C 19%
12°C or below 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
12°C or below
14%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C
19%
18°C
14%
19°C
14%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
1%
16°C 38%
15°C 36%
17°C 19%
12°C or below 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
12°C or below
$27 交易量
14%
13°C
$0 交易量
14%
14°C
$0 交易量
14%
15°C
$10 交易量
22%
16°C
$10 交易量
38%
17°C
$0 交易量
19%
18°C
$0 交易量
14%
19°C
$0 交易量
14%
20°C
$27 交易量
1%
21°C
$207 交易量
1%
22°C或更高
$207 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$486结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$486结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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