Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月12日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 23%
32°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
23%
30°C
28%
31°C
25%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 23%
32°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
26°C或以下
$170 交易量
<1%
27°C
$453 交易量
2%
28°C
$863 交易量
3%
29°C
$226 交易量
23%
30°C
$153 交易量
28%
31°C
$24 交易量
25%
32°C
$34 交易量
16%
33°C
$66 交易量
8%
34°C
$23 交易量
2%
35°C
$96 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,128结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,128结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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