Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
7月12日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
27°C 35%
28°C 26%
26°C 23%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 35%
28°C 26%
26°C 23%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$111 交易量
2%
25°C
$270 交易量
7%
26°C
$218 交易量
23%
27°C
$156 交易量
35%
28°C
$294 交易量
26%
29°C
$108 交易量
6%
30°C
$167 交易量
4%
31°C
$222 交易量
2%
32°C
$207 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,907结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,907结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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