Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日卡拉奇的最高温度?
34°C 42%
33℃ 27%
35°C 24%
31°C 3.3%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33℃
27%
34°C
42%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 42%
33℃ 27%
35°C 24%
31°C 3.3%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33℃
27%
34°C
42%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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