Finnish Meteorological Institute forecasts and ECMWF ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C at Helsinki-Vantaa on July 12, with a heat-wave warning in place but limited upside potential under modest southerly flow and possible afternoon cloud cover. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered between 26–29°C because ensemble spread at 48–72-hour lead times allows for modest warming if skies clear or winds weaken, while marine influence from the Baltic caps extremes. Historical July climatology places average highs in the low-to-mid 20s, so outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any ridge axis and diurnal heating rates. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于赫尔辛基7月12日最高气温?
27°C 34%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
29°C 13%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
16%
27°C
34%
28°C
23%
29°C
13%
30°C或更高
7%
27°C 34%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
29°C 13%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
16%
27°C
34%
28°C
23%
29°C
13%
30°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Finnish Meteorological Institute forecasts and ECMWF ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C at Helsinki-Vantaa on July 12, with a heat-wave warning in place but limited upside potential under modest southerly flow and possible afternoon cloud cover. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered between 26–29°C because ensemble spread at 48–72-hour lead times allows for modest warming if skies clear or winds weaken, while marine influence from the Baltic caps extremes. Historical July climatology places average highs in the low-to-mid 20s, so outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any ridge axis and diurnal heating rates. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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